Publications
The following list contains contributions which apply the microWELT or the microDEMS model. MicroWELT is a portable continuous-time interacting population model based on readily available data for many countries. Its sister model, microDEMS, is a refined Austrian version built on the same platform but based on detailed longitudinal administrative records.
Journal Publications
Horvath, T., M. Spielauer, P. Warum (2025) Life Course Heterogeneity and the Future Labor Force - A Dynamic Microsimulation Analysis for Austria Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 2025 Vol 23 PDF
Böheim René, Thomas Horvath, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer (2023) The Impact of Health and Education on Labour Force Participation in Aging Societies: Projections for the United States and Germany from Dynamic Microsimulations - Population Research and Policy Review, 2023, 42, (3), LINK
Horvath Thomas, Thomas Leoni, Peter Reschenhofer, Martin Spielauer (2023) Socio-economic Inequality and Healthcare Costs Over the Life Course – A Dynamic Microsimulation Approach - Public Health, (219), pp.124-130, LINK
Spielauer Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Concepció Patxot, Tanja Istenič (2023) The Effect of Educational Expansion and Family Change on the Sustainability of Public and Private Transfers - Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 2023, 25, LINK
Spielauer Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Concepció Patxot, Tanja Istenič (2022) Measuring the Lifecycle Impact of Welfare State Policies in the Face of Ageing. Economic Analysis and Policy, 2022, 75, S.1-25, LINK
Fink, Horvath, Spielauer (2020) microDEMS – Ein dynamisches Mikrosimulationsmodell für Österreich. Illustration am Beispiel der Entwicklung der Erwerbsbeteiligung bis 2040 (microDEMS – A Dynamic Microsimulation Model for Austria. Illustration Using the Example of the Development of Labour Force Participation Until 2040) Monatsberichte 2020, 93(1), S.51-61 PDF
Monographs
Stefan Angel, Benjamin Bittschi, Thomas Horvath, Marion Kogler, Helmut Mahringer (2023) Aktivierbare Arbeitsmarktpotenziale und “Stille Reserven” in Österreich (Activatable Labour Market Potentials and “Hidden Unemployment” in Austria) - WIFO Studien, Oktober 2023, 90 Seiten - Auftraggeber: Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien PDF
Thomas Horvath, Walter Hyll, Helmut Mahringer, Hedwig Lutz, Martin Spielauer (2022) Ältere am Arbeitsmarkt: Eine Vorausschau bis 2040 als Grundlage für wirtschaftspolitische Maßnahmen - WIFO Study PDF
Thomas Horvath, Serguei Kaniovski, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer, Thomas Url (2021) The Impact of Education and Health on Labour Force Participation and the Macroeconomic Consequences of Ageing - Bertelsmann Foundation PDF
Horvath, T., Kaniovski, S., Leoni, T., Spielauer, M., Url, T., Lizarazo López, M. & Petersen, T. (2021) Effekte von Bildung und Gesundheit auf Erwerbsbeteiligung und Gesamtwirtschaft im demographischen Wandel, Apr 2021, 22 p. Fokuspapier, Bertelsmann Foundation PDF
Leoni, Thomas, Martin Spielauer, Peter Reschenhofer (2020) Soziale Unterschiede, Lebenserwartung und Gesundheitsausgaben im Lebensverlauf (Social Differences, Life Expectancy And Health Expenditures Over The Life Course) Study commissioned by the Main Association of Austrian Social Insurance Institutions PDF
Working Papers
Famira-Mühlberger U, T Horvath, T Leoni, M Spielauer, P Warum (2025) How do rising care needs impact the formal and informal care sectors and existing inequalities? Comparing Austria and Spain - WIFO Working Paper 700/2025, [PDF]
Warum P, F Culotta, U Famira-Mühlberger, T Horvath, T Leoni, M Spielauer (2025) Challenges in long-term care: Modelling and quantifying future care needs, arrangements and gaps in ageing, low-fertility societies. A Novel Comparative Approach Applied in Microsimulation Projections for Austria and Italy - WIFO Working Paper 698/2025, [PDF]
Warum P, U Famira Mühlberger, T Horvath, T Leoni, P Reschenhofer, M Spielauer (2025) Comparative Modeling of Long-Term Care in Hours - Parameter Estimation for microWELT - WIFO Working Paper 639/2025 [PDF]
Famira-Mühlberger, Ulrike & Thomas Leoni (2024) How Vulnerable are Care Systems to Future Changes in Demand and Supply? Providing a Framework to Compare Austria, Spain, UK and Canada - WIFO Working Paper 677 PDF
Böheim René, Thomas Horvath, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer (2024) The Power of Inclusive Labor Force Participation for Mitigating Population Aging: Closing Gaps at the Intersection Between Race/Ethnicity and Gender in the United States - NBER Working Paper No. 32590 PDF
Horvath Thomas, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer, Peter Reschenhofer (2024) The Impact of Ageing, Inequality and the Evolution of Morbidity on Future Health Expenditure - Wifo Working Paper 679 PDF
Horvath, Thomas, Martin Spielauer, Philipp Warum (2024) Life Course Heterogeneity and the Future Labour Force – a Dynamic Microsimulation Analysis for Austria. WIFO Working Papers, 2024, (674) PDF
Bittschi, Benjamin, Thomas Horvath, Helmut Mahringer, Christine Mayrhuber, Martin Spielauer, Philipp Warum (2024) Assessing the Labour Supply Effect of Harmonising Regular Retirement Age in Austria. WIFO Working Papers, 2024, (673) PDF
Böheim René , Thomas Horvath, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer (2021) The Impact of Health and Education on Labor Force Participation in Aging Societies. Projections for the United States and Germany from a Dynamic Microsimulation. NBER Working Papers, 2021, (29534), HTML PDF
Amann Johannes, René Böheim, Thomas Horvath, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer (2021) The microWELT-US Microsimulation Model for Projections of the US Labour Force Participation Accounting for Education and Health - Technical Report / Monograph. Austrian Institute of Economic Research, Commissioned by the US National Bureau of Economic Research PDF
Horvath, Thomas, Martin Spielauer, Marian Fink (2020) Microsimulation Projection of the Educational Integration and Labour Force Participation of First- and Second-Generation Immigrants - WIFO Working Paper 615/2020 PDF
Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink (2020) Das dynamische Mikrosimulationsmodell microDEMS zur Analyse der ökonomischen Integration von Immigrantinnen und Immigranten in Österreich - WIFO Working Paper 607/2020 PDF
Huber, Pater & Martin Spielauer (2020) Return and Onward Migration and Labour Market Entry: Empirical Analysis and Microsimulation Projection for Austria - WIFO Working Paper 616/2020 PDF
Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink (2020) microWELT - A Dynamic Microsimulation Model for the Study of Welfare Transfer Flows in Ageing Societies from a Comparative Welfare State Perspective. WIFO Working Paper 609/2020 PDF
Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Walter Hyll, Marian Fink (2020) microWELT: Socio-Demographic Parameters and Projections for Austria, Spain, Finland, and the UK WIFO Working Paper 6011/2020 PDF
Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Ció Patxot and Tanja Istenič (2020) microWELT - Microsimulation Projection of Indicators of the Economic Effects of Population Ageing Based on Disaggregated National Transfer Accounts (NTAs) WIFO Working Paper 6012/2020 PDF
Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Ció Patxot and Tanja Istenič (2020) microWELT - Sustainability Indicators: The role of welfare state regimes National Transfer Accounts Network Working Paper 20-02 PDF
Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto Nieves, Concepció Patxot, Tanja Istenič (2020) microWELT: Microsimulation Projection of Full Generational Accounts for Austria and Spain WIFO Working Paper 618/2020 PDF
Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Ció Patxot and Tanja Istenič (2020) microWELT - Microsimulation Projection of Full Generational Accounts from a comparative welfare state perspective: Results for Spain, Austria, Finland, and the UK National Transfer Accounts Network Working Paper 20-03 PDF