Publications

The following list contains contributions which apply the microWELT or the microDEMS model. MicroWELT is a portable continuous-time interacting population model based on readily available data for many countries. Its sister model, microDEMS, is a refined Austrian version built on the same platform but based on detailed longitudinal administrative records.

Journal Publications

  • Böheim René, Thomas Horvath, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer (2023) The Impact of Health and Education on Labour Force Participation in Aging Societies: Projections for the United States and Germany from Dynamic Microsimulations - Population Research and Policy Review, 2023, 42, (3), LINK

  • Horvath Thomas, Thomas Leoni, Peter Reschenhofer, Martin Spielauer (2023) Socio-economic Inequality and Healthcare Costs Over the Life Course – A Dynamic Microsimulation Approach - Public Health, (219), pp.124-130, LINK

  • Spielauer Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Concepció Patxot, Tanja Istenič (2023) The Effect of Educational Expansion and Family Change on the Sustainability of Public and Private Transfers - Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 2023, 25, LINK

  • Spielauer Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Concepció Patxot, Tanja Istenič (2022) Measuring the Lifecycle Impact of Welfare State Policies in the Face of Ageing. Economic Analysis and Policy, 2022, 75, S.1-25, LINK

  • Fink, Horvath, Spielauer (2020) microDEMS – Ein dynamisches Mikrosimulationsmodell für Österreich. Illustration am Beispiel der Entwicklung der Erwerbsbeteiligung bis 2040 (microDEMS – A Dynamic Microsimulation Model for Austria. Illustration Using the Example of the Development of Labour Force Participation Until 2040) Monatsberichte 2020, 93(1), S.51-61 PDF

Monographs

  • Stefan Angel, Benjamin Bittschi, Thomas Horvath, Marion Kogler, Helmut Mahringer (2023) Aktivierbare Arbeitsmarktpotenziale und “Stille Reserven” in Österreich (Activatable Labour Market Potentials and “Hidden Unemployment” in Austria) - WIFO Studien, Oktober 2023, 90 Seiten - Auftraggeber: Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien PDF

  • Thomas Horvath, Walter Hyll, Helmut Mahringer, Hedwig Lutz, Martin Spielauer (2022) Ältere am Arbeitsmarkt: Eine Vorausschau bis 2040 als Grundlage für wirtschaftspolitische Maßnahmen - WIFO Study PDF

  • Thomas Horvath, Serguei Kaniovski, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer, Thomas Url (2021) The Impact of Education and Health on Labour Force Participation and the Macroeconomic Consequences of Ageing - Bertelsmann Foundation PDF

  • Horvath, T., Kaniovski, S., Leoni, T., Spielauer, M., Url, T., Lizarazo López, M. & Petersen, T. (2021) Effekte von Bildung und Gesundheit auf Erwerbsbeteiligung und Gesamtwirtschaft im demographischen Wandel, Apr 2021, 22 p. Fokuspapier, Bertelsmann Foundation PDF

  • Leoni, Thomas, Martin Spielauer, Peter Reschenhofer (2020) Soziale Unterschiede, Lebenserwartung und Gesundheitsausgaben im Lebensverlauf (Social Differences, Life Expectancy And Health Expenditures Over The Life Course) Study commissioned by the Main Association of Austrian Social Insurance Institutions PDF

Working Papers

  • Horvath, Thomas, Martin Spielauer, Philipp Warum (2024) Life Course Heterogeneity and the Future Labour Force – a Dynamic Microsimulation Analysis for Austria. WIFO Working Papers, 2024, (674) PDF

  • Bittschi, Benjamin, Thomas Horvath, Helmut Mahringer, Christine Mayrhuber, Martin Spielauer, Philipp Warum (2024) Assessing the Labour Supply Effect of Harmonising Regular Retirement Age in Austria. WIFO Working Papers, 2024, (673) PDF

  • Böheim René , Thomas Horvath, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer (2021) The Impact of Health and Education on Labor Force Participation in Aging Societies. Projections for the United States and Germany from a Dynamic Microsimulation. NBER Working Papers, 2021, (29534), HTML PDF

  • Amann Johannes, René Böheim, Thomas Horvath, Thomas Leoni, Martin Spielauer (2021) The microWELT-US Microsimulation Model for Projections of the US Labour Force Participation Accounting for Education and Health - Technical Report / Monograph. Austrian Institute of Economic Research, Commissioned by the US National Bureau of Economic Research PDF

  • Horvath, Thomas, Martin Spielauer, Marian Fink (2020) Microsimulation Projection of the Educational Integration and Labour Force Participation of First- and Second-Generation Immigrants - WIFO Working Paper 615/2020 PDF

  • Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink (2020) Das dynamische Mikrosimulationsmodell microDEMS zur Analyse der ökonomischen Integration von Immigrantinnen und Immigranten in Österreich - WIFO Working Paper 607/2020 PDF

  • Huber, Pater & Martin Spielauer (2020) Return and Onward Migration and Labour Market Entry: Empirical Analysis and Microsimulation Projection for Austria - WIFO Working Paper 616/2020 PDF

  • Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink (2020) microWELT - A Dynamic Microsimulation Model for the Study of Welfare Transfer Flows in Ageing Societies from a Comparative Welfare State Perspective. WIFO Working Paper 609/2020 PDF

  • Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Walter Hyll, Marian Fink (2020) microWELT: Socio-Demographic Parameters and Projections for Austria, Spain, Finland, and the UK WIFO Working Paper 6011/2020 PDF

  • Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Ció Patxot and Tanja Istenič (2020) microWELT - Microsimulation Projection of Indicators of the Economic Effects of Population Ageing Based on Disaggregated National Transfer Accounts (NTAs) WIFO Working Paper 6012/2020 PDF

  • Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Ció Patxot and Tanja Istenič (2020) microWELT - Sustainability Indicators: The role of welfare state regimes National Transfer Accounts Network Working Paper 20-02 PDF

  • Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto Nieves, Concepció Patxot, Tanja Istenič (2020) microWELT: Microsimulation Projection of Full Generational Accounts for Austria and Spain WIFO Working Paper 618/2020 PDF

  • Spielauer, Martin, Thomas Horvath, Marian Fink, Gemma Abio, Guadalupe Souto, Ció Patxot and Tanja Istenič (2020) microWELT - Microsimulation Projection of Full Generational Accounts from a comparative welfare state perspective: Results for Spain, Austria, Finland, and the UK National Transfer Accounts Network Working Paper 20-03 PDF